Updating My Perpetual Income Dividend Machine

Updating My Perpetual Income Dividend Machine

I started my perpetual income machine dividend portfolio at the beginning of last year and it has quickly become one of my favorite pieces of my financial world.  It isn’t large (yet) but it will be!  The goal is simple to find undervalued stocks only within the Dividend Aristocrat Index.  Last year I only updated the portfolio twice, however, this year I have been investing more and more money into the portfolio per month and thus think it should be updated every 60 days.  Besides I find the research fun.

For those who don’t know, the S&P Dividend Aristocrats index are,

large cap, blue chip companies within the S&P 500 that have followed a policy of increasing dividends every year for at least 25 consecutive years.

Since I am first and foremost creating a future income stream (which is also why the portfolio is not in a qualified-retirement account) I want stable companies that have paid a consistent stream of income (i.e. a quarter century of increasing dividends will do it!).  The criteria I used to build this particular portfolio:

  1. They have to actually be on the Aristocrat List
  2. The stock has to have a Price to Earning that is lower than or equal to their industry average
  3. Their Operating Margin has to be in line with the particular stock’s industry average
  4. Dividend Yield should be between 2% and 5%
  5. Price to Book Value Should be Reasonable

Some quick definitions

  • Dividend Aristocrats are those dividend paying American companies that have increased their dividend for the past 25 years.
  • P/E is Price is “a valuation ratio of a company’s current share price compared to its per-share Earnings.”
  • Operating margin is “a measurement of what proportion of a company’s revenue is left over after paying for variable costs of production such as wages, raw materials, etc. A healthy operating margin is required for a company to be able to pay for its fixed costs, such as interest on debt.”
  • Dividend Yield a “Financial ratio that shows how much a company pays out in dividends each year relative to its share price. In the absence of any capital gains, the dividend yield is the return on investment for a stock. Dividend yield is calculated by dividing Annual Dividends per Share by Price Per Share”
  • Price to book is a ratio used to compare a stock’s market value to its book value. It is calculated by dividing the current closing price of the stock by the latest quarter’s book value per share.

My Current Dividend Portfolio

While I am currently investing, in even amounts to the following Stocks,

  1. MMM – 3M
  2. AFL – Aflac
  3. CTL – CenturyLink
  4. CB – Chubb
  5. LEG – Leggett & Platt
  6. SDY – Catch-all ETF of the index

After about 15 months or so of investing my portfolio looks like this:

Dividend Account As of 5-2011

CB, CTL, LEG are heavily invested because I have been putting money into them since they keep meeting the standards and criteria every update I do.  I should mention that I don’t really do any research besides the numbers, nor do I have any loyalty to any company.  The main criteria is that they are part of the Dividend Aristocrat list, so as long as they are in the index I won’t sell my position since I can come back to it if they become undervalued.  I have only sold one position and that was LLY when they failed to increased their dividend last year.

Analyzing the Dividend Aristocrat Index for My Portfolio

First, I take out all those companies whose Price to Earnings is higher than their industry average

 

Second, I take out all those companies whose operating margins are not better than their industry average

 

Third, I remove all those companies whose dividend yield is not at least 2.0%.

 

Lastly, I remove all those companies who has a Book-Value higher than 3.5

 

I am left with the following companies:

While PG is obviously a strong company, it is barely undervalued by the criteria I have set forth, so they are out.

  • AFL – I like how under valued it is and its better than average operating margin
  • JNJ – While the Price to Book is a bit high I like getting into such a known  company when it is a bit undervalued
  • LEG – 4% Dividend yield and a P/E ratio that is half of its industry average? Sign me up
  • CTL – I am worried about the general industry CTL is in, but their operating margin is almost double its peers and it is paying 7%! Can it keep paying that high? probably not but until then I’ll collect my money.
  • CB – A low book value and fantastic operating margin

This post took way too long to write so I would love some thoughts!

21 Responses to Updating My Perpetual Income Dividend Machine

  1. I’m just starting a dividend portfolio and this is a great guide. I’ll have to bookmark this page for future reference.
    I started with AT&T, but will look at Dividend Aristocrat next time.

  2. This was a lot of great work. I can’t say I do this much research for my investments. I’m sure you’re going to see this pay off for you in the future.

  3. It seems like a lot of dividend stocks have low P/E ratios, so they all seem like a bargain to me. I’m sure it’s because the sector is more predictable in terms of the stock price changes.

    Good work. I’d like to do something similar but have been doing mostly mutual funds lately (although I do own some P+G). Individual stocks just seem like a lot of work right now.

    • I actually don’t have any mutual funds outside my 401(k)…no reason other than they don’t particularly excite me right now. I am too focused on hoarding cash.

  4. This is a great little system that you have and dividends are certainly a major portion of the return of the overall market over the years. Reinvested dividends (ie compound interest) make a big difference.

  5. You have some good ones there. I like some companies you dropped out, and I think you may run into pricing problems with a couple of your current ones. However, like you said, you are in it for the long run, so those minor problems will just be speed bumps in the end!

  6. I like Realty One. I’m not sure why it isn’t a Dividend Aristocrat, but it does have a consistent but increasing yield…

    Great projects, I’m cheering you on! I would like to have such a mechanism someday too… Very cool!

    • I couldn’t find the symbol for Realty one….

      If you need help building the spreadsheets I’d be happy to help…there should be an easier way to automate it but I haven’t found it yet lol

  7. I like your filtering process and I do see the logic behind it. I think the insurers are a great deal right now and I wish I would have gotten into AFL after the tsunami. Only so much capital to go around. I think health care offers a lot of great deals, and would disagree on ABT.

    I have a question for you. I noticed that Wal-Mart was not in red after the first step..but was missing in the second chart. Did I miss something. I happen to think WMT is a pretty good deal right now. Phenomenal dividend growth.

    • I think you may have found a mistake regarding Walmart! Really annoying actually – and highlights the problem I have doing all this stuff by hand.

  8. Any update on your dividend portfolio? It’s been over a year since your last update. Just curious as I really like this idea. When I ran across your website a year ago, I started two portfolios: one with your model and another more high risk dividend portfolio that focused on dividend stocks that pay every month (I wanted a portfolio that created monthly income). Your model has FAR outperformed the monthly portfolio that I setup on my own.

Leave a reply


8 − 3 =